← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MI-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMI-03 House Election Winner
Volume $42.6KLiquidity $44.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.9KOpen interest $5.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mi-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mi-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mi-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEMI3-26
HOUSEMI3-26-D
HOUSEMI3-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.2% | 95.8% | 95.8% | +0.4 | |
| 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | −0.5 |
Probability chart · Hillary Scholten (D)
loading history
No history to chart yet