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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MI-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMI-05 House Election Winner
Volume $30.4KLiquidity $77.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $10.8KOpen interest $6.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mi-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mi-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mi-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MI05-26
KXHOUSERACE-MI05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MI05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.9% | 90.9% | 91.9% | +1.0 | |
| 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | −1.3 |
Probability chart · Tim Walberg (R)
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