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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MI-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMI-08 House Election Winner
Volume $21.4KLiquidity $76.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.7KOpen interest $5.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mi-08-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mi-08-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mi-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEMI8-26
HOUSEMI8-26-D
HOUSEMI8-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 92.5% | 94.0% | +1.9 | |
| 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)
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