← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MI-09 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMI-09 House Election Winner
Volume $37.7KLiquidity $38.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.4KOpen interest $1.8KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mi-09-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mi-09-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mi-09-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26
KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.5% | 94.6% | 94.5% | +1.9 | |
| 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Lisa McClain (R)
loading history
No history to chart yet