Same question, two venues, the gap. No trading.

934 clusters · 11111 listed outcomes

MI-13 Democratic nominee?

Updated 1s ago

Polymarket32 catalog outcomesClosed

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume $1.79MLiquidity —Ends Aug 4

Kalshi5 catalog outcomesClosed

Volume $3.39MOpen interest $1.18MEnds Aug 5

Polymarket ↗

Kalshi ↗

Market and outcome ids

Polymarket

Market: mi-13-democratic-primary-winner

will-anthony-carbonaro-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-donavan-mckinney-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-nazmul-hassan-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-another-person-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-a-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-b-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-c-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-d-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-e-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-f-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-g-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-h-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-i-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-j-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-k-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-l-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-m-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-n-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-o-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-p-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-q-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-r-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-s-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-t-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-u-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-v-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-w-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-x-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-y-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-person-z-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-shelby-campbell-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

will-shri-thanedar-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-mi-13

Kalshi

Market: KXMI13D-26

KXMI13D-26-ACAR

KXMI13D-26-DMCK

KXMI13D-26-NHAS

KXMI13D-26-SCAM

KXMI13D-26-STHA

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
100.0%	50.0%	99.9%	+50.0
0.0%	50.0%	0.2%	−50.0
0.0%	50.0%	0.1%	−50.0
0.0%	50.0%	0.1%	−50.0
0.0%	50.0%	0.1%	−50.0

Polymarket only · 27

OtherPerson APerson BPerson CPerson DPerson EPerson FPerson G

Probability chart · Donavan McKinney

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