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Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 2
Miles Morales live-action film actor?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $14.5KLiquidity $6.2KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpenMarvel: Actor cast as Miles Morales
Volume $6.3KOpen interest $2.8KEnds Dec 30
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: miles-morales-live-action-film-actor-20260811225257154
will-alex-rpt-hibbert-be-the-live-action-miles-morales-20260807030812867
will-caleb-mclaughlin-be-the-live-action-miles-morales-20260807030812864
will-dallas-dupree-young-be-the-live-action-miles-morales-20260807030812865
will-miles-brown-be-the-live-action-miles-morales-20260807030812866
will-myles-truitt-be-the-live-action-miles-morales-20260807030812868
will-no-live-action-miles-morales-actor-be-chosen-20260807030812869
Kalshi
Market: KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-ALE
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-CAL
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-DAL
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-JUS
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-MIL
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-MYL
KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-TYL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | +13.0 | |
| 18.3% | 17.0% | 13.0% | +1.3 | |
| 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | −1.0 | |
| 4.5% | 22.0% | 18.0% | −17.5 | |
| 4.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | −8.0 |
Polymarket only · 1No actor chosen by end of 2027
Kalshi only · 2Justice SmithTyler James Williams
Probability chart · Alex R. Hibbert
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