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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MN-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMN-02 House Election Winner
Volume $59.3KLiquidity $103.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.3KOpen interest $2.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mn-02-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mn-02-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mn-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEMN2-26
HOUSEMN2-26-R
HOUSEMN2-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.8% | 92.0% | 94.0% | −0.3 | |
| 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | −2.6 |
Probability chart · Matt Little (D)
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