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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MN-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMN-04 House Election Winner
Volume $28.1KLiquidity $97.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $22.1KOpen interest $6.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mn-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mn-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mn-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MN04-26
KXHOUSERACE-MN04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MN04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.5% | 95.1% | 95.5% | +1.3 | |
| 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Betty McCollum (D)
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