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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 2Kalshi only · 2
MO-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMO-04 House Election Winner
Volume $52.6KLiquidity $68.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.4KOpen interest $4.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mo-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mo-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mo-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MO04-26
KXHOUSERACE-MO04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MO04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No aligned outcomes between these venue lists. | ||||
Polymarket only · 2Jordan Herrera (D)Mark Alford (R)
Kalshi only · 2Democratic partyRepublican party
Probability chart
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