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Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Montana Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpenMontana Senate Election Winner
Volume $156.6KLiquidity $310.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $669.0KOpen interest $380.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: montana-senate-election-winner
will-the-democrats-win-the-montana-senate-race-in-2026
will-an-independent-win-the-montana-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-republicans-win-the-montana-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEMT-26
SENATEMT-26-D
SENATEMT-26-R
SENATEMT-26-IND
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.5% | 92.3% | 94.1% | −0.8 | |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 1Independent
Kalshi only · 1Seth Bodnar
Probability chart · Kurt Alme (R)
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