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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MS-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMS-03 House Election Winner
Volume $62.5KLiquidity $48.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.7KOpen interest $1.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ms-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ms-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ms-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26
KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MS03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.8% | 97.0% | 95.2% | +1.8 | |
| 0.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | −1.8 |
Probability chart · Michael Guest (R)
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