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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MS-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMS-04 House Election Winner
Volume $40.8KLiquidity $35.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $10.6KOpen interest $2.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ms-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ms-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ms-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MS04-26
KXHOUSERACE-MS04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MS04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.2% | 97.5% | 98.9% | −1.3 | |
| 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | +0.6 |
Probability chart · Mike Ezell (R)
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