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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
MT-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenMT-02 House Election Winner
Volume $59.6KLiquidity $67.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.3KOpen interest $4.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: mt-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mt-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-mt-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-MT02-26
KXHOUSERACE-MT02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-MT02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | 94.0% | 93.0% | +0.9 | |
| 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | −0.7 |
Probability chart · Troy Downing (R)
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