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Updated 1s agoPolymarket29 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 27Kalshi only · 1
Nanaimo mayoral election winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket29 catalog outcomesOpenNanaimo Mayoral Election
Volume $10.3KLiquidity $38.7KEnds Oct 18
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.3KOpen interest $1.8KEnds Oct 17
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nanaimo-mayoral-election-2026
will-anne-marie-dryden-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591813
will-candidate-a-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591814
will-candidate-b-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591815
will-candidate-c-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591816
will-candidate-d-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591817
will-candidate-e-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591818
will-candidate-f-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591819
will-candidate-g-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591820
will-candidate-h-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591821
will-candidate-i-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591822
will-candidate-j-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591823
will-candidate-k-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591824
will-candidate-l-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591825
will-candidate-m-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591826
will-candidate-n-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591827
will-candidate-o-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591828
will-candidate-p-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591829
will-candidate-q-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591830
will-candidate-r-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591831
will-candidate-s-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591832
will-candidate-t-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591833
will-candidate-u-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591834
will-candidate-v-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591835
will-candidate-w-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591836
will-candidate-x-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591837
will-candidate-y-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591838
will-candidate-z-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591839
will-leonard-krog-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591812
will-someone-else-win-the-2026-nanaimo-mayoral-election-1786127591840
Kalshi
Market: KXNANAIMOMAYOR-26OCT17
KXNANAIMOMAYOR-26OCT17-ADRY
KXNANAIMOMAYOR-26OCT17-LKRO
KXNANAIMOMAYOR-26OCT17-SLOV
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.5% | 91.0% | 84.0% | +1.5 | |
| 3.2% | 6.5% | 11.0% | −3.3 |
Polymarket only · 27Candidate ACandidate BCandidate CCandidate DCandidate ECandidate FCandidate GCandidate H
Kalshi only · 1Sarah Lovegrove
Probability chart · Leonard Krog
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