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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NC-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNC-03 House Election Winner
Volume $22.2KLiquidity $65.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $4.1KOpen interest $2.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nc-03-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-03-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nc-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NC03-26
KXHOUSERACE-NC03-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NC03-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.0% | 84.0% | 86.0% | +2.0 | |
| 13.5% | 15.5% | 18.0% | −2.0 |
Probability chart · Greg Murphy (R)
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