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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NC-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNC-08 House Election Winner
Volume $32.0KLiquidity $45.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.6KOpen interest $5.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nc-08-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nc-08-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NC08-26
KXHOUSERACE-NC08-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NC08-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.8% | 94.0% | 91.7% | +0.8 | |
| 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Mark Harris (R)
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