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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NC-12 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNC-12 House Election Winner
Volume $66.3KLiquidity $33.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.8KOpen interest $1.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nc-12-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nc-12-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-12-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NC12-26
KXHOUSERACE-NC12-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NC12-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.1% | 96.5% | 94.0% | −0.4 | |
| 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | −1.3 |
Probability chart · Alma Adams (D)
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