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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NC-14 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNC-14 House Election Winner
Volume $34.2KLiquidity $64.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $7.2KOpen interest $3.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nc-14-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nc-14-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nc-14-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NC14-26
KXHOUSERACE-NC14-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NC14-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.0% | 87.5% | 89.0% | −1.5 | |
| 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | +1.7 |
Probability chart · Tim Moore (R)
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