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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
ND-AL House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenND-AL House Election Winner
Volume $60.9KLiquidity $83.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $9.4KOpen interest $4.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nd-al-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nd-al-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nd-al-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NDAL-26
KXHOUSERACE-NDAL-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NDAL-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.8% | 97.4% | 97.2% | −1.6 | |
| 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | +0.9 |
Probability chart · Julie Fedorchak (R)
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