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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 1
NE-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNE-01 House Election Winner
Volume $43.6KLiquidity $57.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $28.7KOpen interest $12.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ne-01-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ne-01-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ne-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26
KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-AAHL
KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.0% | 83.5% | 84.0% | +2.5 | |
| 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.0% | −3.0 |
Kalshi only · 1Austin Ahlman
Probability chart · Mike Flood (R)
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