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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NE-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNE-03 House Election Winner
Volume $15.9KLiquidity $41.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.7KOpen interest $2.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ne-03-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ne-03-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ne-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NE03-26
KXHOUSERACE-NE03-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NE03-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.5% | 97.0% | 93.2% | −0.6 | |
| 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.7% | −0.2 |
Probability chart · Adrian Smith (R)
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