New Zealand general election winner?

Updated 1s ago

Polymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Volume $63.1KLiquidity $189.7KEnds Nov 8

Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen

Volume $8.6KOpen interest $3.8KEnds Dec 31

Market and outcome ids

Polymarket

Market: new-zealand-legislative-election-winner

will-act-new-zealand-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

will-green-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

will-labour-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

will-national-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

will-new-zealand-first-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

will-te-pti-mori-win-the-most-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election

Kalshi

Market: KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-ACT

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-GRN

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-LAB

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-NAT

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-NZF

KXNEWZEALANDPARLI-26DEC31-TPM

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
55.5%	56.5%	53.0%	−1.0
43.0%	41.5%	48.0%	+1.5
0.1%	2.6%	6.0%	−2.4
0.1%	2.1%	0.0%	−1.9

Polymarket only · 2

ACT New ZealandNew Zealand First Party

Kalshi only · 2

ACTNZ First

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