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Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $211.8KLiquidity $71.8KEnds Jun 1
Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $37.4KOpen interest $17.3KEnds Oct 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615442
will-elif-eralp-be-the-next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615446
will-kristin-brinker-be-the-next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615444
will-stefan-evers-be-the-next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615442
will-steffen-krach-be-the-next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615443
will-werner-graf-be-the-next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615445
Kalshi
Market: KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01
KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01-EERA
KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01-KBRI
KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01-SEVE
KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01-SKRA
KXBERLINGOVMAYOR-26OCT01-WGRA
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.5% | 80.5% | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 16.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.2 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Elif Eralp
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