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Updated 1s agoPolymarket24 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi31 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 5Kalshi only · 12
Next James Bond actor?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket24 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.36MLiquidity $234.4KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi31 catalog outcomesOpenNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
Volume $2.45MOpen interest $1.16MEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: next-james-bond-actor-398
aaron-taylor-johnson-announced-as-next-james-bond-655
callum-turner-announced-as-next-james-bond-288
harris-dickinson-announced-as-next-james-bond
henry-cavill-announced-as-next-james-bond-886
jack-barton-announced-as-next-james-bond
jack-lowdon-announced-as-next-james-bond-917
jack-oconnell-announced-as-next-james-bond
jacob-elordi-announced-as-next-james-bond
james-norton-announced-as-next-james-bond-289
jonathan-bailey-announced-as-next-james-bond
josh-oconnor-announced-as-next-james-bond
michael-b-jordan-announced-as-next-james-bond
nicholas-galitzine-announced-as-next-james-bond
no-one-announced-as-next-james-bond
paul-mescal-announced-as-next-james-bond-885
pierce-brosnan-announced-as-next-james-bond
richard-madden-announced-as-next-james-bond
james-collier-announced-as-next-james-bond-537
theo-james-announced-as-next-james-bond-893
timothee-chalamet-announced-as-next-james-bond
tom-blyth-announced-as-next-james-bond
tom-francis-announced-as-next-james-bond
tom-hardy-announced-as-next-james-bond-891
tom-holland-announced-as-next-james-bond
Kalshi
Market: KXBOND-30
KXBOND-30-AP
KXBOND-30-ATJ
KXBOND-30-CAL
KXBOND-30-CHARL
KXBOND-30-CIL
KXBOND-30-DI
KXBOND-30-GEO
KXBOND-30-HAR
KXBOND-30-HENR
KXBOND-30-HC
KXBOND-30-IDRIS
KXBOND-30-JACK
KXBOND-30-JAC
KXBOND-30-JACKO
KXBOND-30-JACO
KXBOND-30-JN
KXBOND-30-JON
KXBOND-30-JOS
KXBOND-30-LUK
KXBOND-30-NICH
KXBOND-30-NIC
KXBOND-30-PAU
KXBOND-30-REG
KXBOND-30-RM
KXBOND-30-ROB
KXBOND-30-SCO
KXBOND-30-THEO
KXBOND-30-TOMB
KXBOND-30-TOMF
KXBOND-30-TOM
KXBOND-30-TOMH
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.1% | 43.0% | 42.0% | −5.8 | |
| 23.0% | 43.5% | 46.0% | −20.5 | |
| 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | −1.4 | |
| 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | −3.3 | |
| 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | −0.5 | |
| 2.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | −3.3 | |
| 1.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | −3.2 | |
| 0.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | −6.4 | |
| 0.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | −2.5 | |
| 0.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | −5.1 | |
| 0.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | −2.1 | |
| 0.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | −2.7 | |
| 0.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | −3.1 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | −3.9 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | −0.9 | |
| 0.1% | 1.0% | 3.0% | −0.9 |
Polymarket only · 5Michael B JordanNo Bond chosenPierce BrosnanRobert James-CollierTimothee Chalamet
Kalshi only · 12Aaron PierreCharlie HunnamCillian MurphyDamson IdrisGeorge MacKayHenry AshtonIdris ElbaLuke Evans
Probability chart · Jack Lowden
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