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Updated 1s agoPolymarket12 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 7
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket12 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $391.1KLiquidity $180.0KEnds Jun 1
Kalshi5 catalog outcomesOpenNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
Volume $18.1KOpen interest $8.9KEnds Oct 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619
will-andre-schroder-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt
will-armin-willingmann-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204153
will-claudia-wittig-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204157
will-eva-von-angern-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204154
will-franziska-weidinger-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt
will-lydia-huskens-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204156
will-sepp-muller-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt
will-susan-sziborra-seidlitz-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204155
will-sven-schulze-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204152
will-tamara-zieschang-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt
will-thomas-schulze-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204158
will-ulrich-siegmund-be-the-next-minister-president-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806163204151
Kalshi
Market: KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-AWIL
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-EANG
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-SSZI
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-SSCH
KXSAXANHMP-26OCT06-USIE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5% | 64.5% | 67.0% | −3.0 | |
| 6.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | +4.5 | |
| 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.0 | |
| 0.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | −1.9 |
Polymarket only · 7André SchröderClaudia WittigFranziska WeidingerLydia HüskensSepp MüllerTamara ZieschangThomas Schulze
Probability chart · Ulrich Siegmund
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