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Updated 1s agoPolymarket8 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi15 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 7
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Updated 1s agoPolymarket8 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $213.5KLiquidity $84.6KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi15 catalog outcomesOpenWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
Volume $95.3KOpen interest $48.8KEnds Jan 5
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-carolyn-rodrigues-birkett-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-ivonne-de-baki-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-macky-sall-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-mara-fernanda-espinosa-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-michelle-bachelet-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations-126
will-olara-otunnu-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations
will-rafael-grossi-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations-415
will-rebeca-grynspan-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations-979
Kalshi
Market: KXUNSEC-27JAN
KXUNSEC-27JAN-ABAR
KXUNSEC-27JAN-AMOH
KXUNSEC-27JAN-CBIR
KXUNSEC-27JAN-GINF
KXUNSEC-27JAN-IABAK
KXUNSEC-27JAN-LNUS
KXUNSEC-27JAN-MSAL
KXUNSEC-27JAN-MFER
KXUNSEC-27JAN-MMOT
KXUNSEC-27JAN-MBAC
KXUNSEC-27JAN-NMLA
KXUNSEC-27JAN-OOTU
KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRO
KXUNSEC-27JAN-RGRYN
KXUNSEC-27JAN-SKAA
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.0% | 58.5% | 57.0% | −5.5 | |
| 12.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | +1.3 | |
| 11.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | +8.6 | |
| 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | −0.6 | |
| 4.0% | 3.5% | 13.0% | +0.4 | |
| 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −0.1 | |
| 1.3% | 1.5% | 10.0% | −0.2 | |
| 0.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% | −1.9 |
Kalshi only · 7Alicia BárcenaAmina J. MohammedGianni InfantinoLana NusseibehMia MottleyNickolay MladenovSigrid Kaag
Probability chart · Rebeca Grynspan
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