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Updated 1s agoPolymarket12 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 6
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket12 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $172.0KLiquidity $441.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Volume $6.2KOpen interest $5.2KEnds Jan 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: next-senate-majority-leader-485
will-amy-klobuchar-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-brian-schatz-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-chris-van-hollen-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-chuck-schumer-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-cory-booker-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-john-barrasso-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader-649
will-john-thune-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-lindsey-graham-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-mark-kelly-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-patty-murray-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
will-steve-daines-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader-743
will-tom-cotton-be-the-next-senate-majority-leader
Kalshi
Market: KXSENMAJ-27
KXSENMAJ-27-BSCH
KXSENMAJ-27-CHOL
KXSENMAJ-27-CSCH
KXSENMAJ-27-JBAR
KXSENMAJ-27-JTHU
KXSENMAJ-27-TCOT
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 44.5% | 48.0% | +3.0 | |
| 26.5% | 25.5% | 29.0% | +1.0 | |
| 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | −1.0 | |
| 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | −1.9 | |
| 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | +1.6 | |
| 0.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | −2.7 |
Polymarket only · 6Amy KlobucharCory BookerLindsey GrahamMark KellyPatty MurraySteve Daines
Probability chart · Chuck Schumer
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