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Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $16.8KLiquidity $29.5KEnds Oct 27
Kalshi3 catalog outcomesOpenNiagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner?
Volume $1.2KOpen interest $410Ends Oct 26
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: niagara-on-the-lake-mayoral-election-winner
will-andrea-kaiser-win-the-2026-niagara-on-the-lake-mayoral-election
will-erwin-wiens-win-the-2026-niagara-on-the-lake-mayoral-election
will-vaughn-goettler-win-the-2026-niagara-on-the-lake-mayoral-election
Kalshi
Market: KXNOTLMAYOR-26OCT26
KXNOTLMAYOR-26OCT26-AKAI
KXNOTLMAYOR-26OCT26-EWIE
KXNOTLMAYOR-26OCT26-VGOE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5% | 53.5% | 51.0% | −4.0 | |
| 29.0% | 33.5% | 34.0% | −4.5 | |
| 9.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | +2.5 |
Probability chart · Erwin Wiens
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