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Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 20Kalshi only · 2
Nigerian presidential election winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $128.8KLiquidity $149.6KEnds Jan 17
Kalshi4 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $13.6KOpen interest $7.3KEnds Feb 28
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nigerian-presidential-election-winner-20260602162945585
will-bola-tinubu-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030949
will-candidate-a-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030951
will-candidate-b-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030952
will-candidate-c-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030953
will-candidate-d-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030954
will-candidate-e-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030955
will-candidate-f-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030956
will-candidate-g-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030957
will-candidate-h-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030958
will-candidate-i-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030959
will-candidate-j-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030960
will-candidate-k-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030961
will-candidate-l-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030962
will-candidate-m-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030963
will-candidate-n-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030964
will-candidate-o-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030965
will-candidate-p-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030966
will-omoyele-sowore-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030950
will-other-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030967
will-peter-obi-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030948
will-rabiu-kwankwaso-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030947
will-rotimi-amaechi-win-the-2027-nigerian-presidential-election-20260602163030946
Kalshi
Market: KXPRESNIGERIA-27
KXPRESNIGERIA-27-AABU
KXPRESNIGERIA-27-BTIN
KXPRESNIGERIA-27-KSHE
KXPRESNIGERIA-27-POBI
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.5% | 73.5% | 71.0% | −2.0 | |
| 24.0% | 22.5% | 17.0% | +1.5 |
Polymarket only · 20Candidate ACandidate BCandidate CCandidate DCandidate ECandidate FCandidate GCandidate H
Kalshi only · 2Atiku AbubakarKashim Shettima
Probability chart · Bola Tinubu
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