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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NJ-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNJ-02 House Election Winner
Volume $31.5KLiquidity $71.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $32.1KOpen interest $19.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nj-02-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nj-02-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nj-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NJ02-26
KXHOUSERACE-NJ02-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NJ02-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.0% | 79.0% | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 19.5% | 21.0% | 23.0% | −1.5 |
Probability chart · Jeff Van Drew (R)
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