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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NJ-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNJ-03 House Election Winner
Volume $40.4KLiquidity $39.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $5.7KOpen interest $3.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nj-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nj-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nj-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NJ03-26
KXHOUSERACE-NJ03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NJ03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5% | 96.2% | 97.8% | +1.4 | |
| 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | −0.9 |
Probability chart · Herb Conaway (D)
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