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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NM-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNM-01 House Election Winner
Volume $44.2KLiquidity $64.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.0KOpen interest $3.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nm-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nm-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nm-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NM01-26
KXHOUSERACE-NM01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NM01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | 95.3% | 93.5% | +0.7 | |
| 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | −0.2 |
Probability chart · Melanie Stansbury (D)
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