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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NM-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNM-03 House Election Winner
Volume $53.3KLiquidity $46.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.0KOpen interest $3.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nm-03-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nm-03-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nm-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NM03-26
KXHOUSERACE-NM03-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-NM03-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.2% | 96.3% | 94.3% | +0.9 | |
| 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | −1.6 |
Probability chart · Teresa Leger Fernández (D)
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