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Updated 1s agoPolymarket33 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi37 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 17Kalshi only · 21
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Updated 1s agoPolymarket33 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $26.19MLiquidity $1.78MEnds Apr 1
Kalshi37 catalog outcomesOpen2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Volume $2.59MOpen interest $1.73MEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
will-ahmed-al-sharaa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-antnio-guterres-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-623
will-benjamin-netanyahu-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-charlie-kirk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-chow-hang-tung-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-committee-to-protect-journalists-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-donald-trump-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-382
will-elon-musk-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-756
will-greta-thunberg-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-767
will-hussam-abu-safiya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-icrc-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-the-international-court-of-justice-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-885
will-julian-assange-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-899
will-khaled-mashal-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-787
will-person-l-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-158
will-mohammed-bin-salman-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-mykola-kuleba-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-narendra-modi-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-pope-leo-xiv-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-698
will-recep-tayyip-erdoan-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-reporters-without-borders-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-sara-al-saqqa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-save-the-children-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-sudans-emergency-response-rooms-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-sviatlana-tsikhanouskaya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-tamim-bin-hamad-al-thani-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-755
will-unhcr-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-unrwa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-983
will-vladimir-putin-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-126
will-volodymyr-zelensky-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-637
will-world-central-kitchen-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-xi-jinping-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026
will-yulia-navalnaya-win-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2026-261
Kalshi
Market: KXNOBELPEACE-26
KXNOBELPEACE-26-CE
KXNOBELPEACE-26-CHOW
KXNOBELPEACE-27-CPJ
KXNOBELPEACE-26-CONC
KXNOBELPEACE-26-DAR
KXNOBELPEACE-26-DOC
KXNOBELPEACE-26-DJT
KXNOBELPEACE-26-ELO
KXNOBELPEACE-26-EUR
KXNOBELPEACE-26-FRA
KXNOBELPEACE-26-IAJ
KXNOBELPEACE-26-ICRC
KXNOBELPEACE-26-ICJ
KXNOBELPEACE-27-ICC
KXNOBELPEACE-26-IPRA
KXNOBELPEACE-26-ISS
KXNOBELPEACE-26-MAR
KXNOBELPEACE-26-MMEY
KXNOBELPEACE-26-MIN
KXNOBELPEACE-27-MKUL
KXNOBELPEACE-26-NAR
KXNOBELPEACE-26-PCFF
KXNOBELPEACE-27-PLEO
KXNOBELPEACE-26-RSF
KXNOBELPEACE-26-SAM
KXNOBELPEACE-26-SAR
KXNOBELPEACE-27-STC
KXNOBELPEACE-27-SSHA
KXNOBELPEACE-26-SUD
KXNOBELPEACE-26-SGSV
KXNOBELPEACE-26-TAM
KXNOBELPEACE-27-UNRWA
KXNOBELPEACE-26-VNAK
KXNOBELPEACE-26-VOL
KXNOBELPEACE-26-WTO
KXNOBELPEACE-26-YAD
KXNOBELPEACE-27-YNAV
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.3% | 15.5% | 16.0% | −1.2 | |
| 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | +1.0 | |
| 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | −1.1 | |
| 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | −0.2 | |
| 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | −1.4 | |
| 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | −0.4 | |
| 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | +1.4 | |
| 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | +0.1 | |
| 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | +0.9 | |
| 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | +0.2 | |
| 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | +0.1 | |
| 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | +1.1 | |
| 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 17Ahmed al-SharaaAntónio GuterresBenjamin NetanyahuCharlie KirkGreta ThunbergHussam Abu SafiyaICRCJulian Assange
Kalshi only · 21Centre for Humanitarian DialogueConcordis InternationalDario AmodeiDoctors Without BordersEuropean UnionFrancesca AlbaneseInternational Association of Judges (IAJ)International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
Probability chart · Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
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