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Updated 1s agoPolymarket21 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi24 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 4
Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket21 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $58.0KLiquidity $262.8KEnds Jun 7
Kalshi24 catalog outcomesOpenNuevo León Governor winner?
Volume $13.7KOpen interest $8.0KEnds Jun 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nuevo-leon-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
will-adrian-de-la-garza-santos-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854402
will-alma-rosa-marroquin-escamilla-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854391
will-andres-mijes-llovera-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854398
will-annia-gomez-cardenas-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854405
will-arturo-salinas-garza-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854404
will-carlos-de-la-fuente-flores-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854403
will-clara-luz-flores-carrales-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854399
will-daniel-carrillo-martinez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854407
will-felipe-de-jesus-cantu-rodriguez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854400
will-fernando-margain-berlanga-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854406
will-felix-arratia-cruz-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854394
will-hector-garcia-garcia-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854393
will-jesus-alberto-elizondo-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854401
will-judith-diaz-delgado-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854397
will-luis-donaldo-colosio-riojas-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854387
will-mariana-rodriguez-cantu-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854388
will-martha-herrera-gonzalez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854390
will-miguel-flores-serna-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854389
will-raul-lozano-caballero-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854392
will-tatiana-clouthier-carrillo-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854395
will-waldo-fernandez-gonzalez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854396
Kalshi
Market: KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-ADGS
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-AMAR
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-AMIJ
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-AGOM
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-ASAL
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-CDFU
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-CLFL
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-CGAR
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-DCAR
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-DPEN
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-FCAN
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-FMSA
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-FARR
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-HGAR
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-IALV
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-JELI
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-JDIA
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-LCOL
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-MROC
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-MHER
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-MFLO
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-RLOZ
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-TCLO
KXNUEVOLEONGOV-27JUN06-WFGO
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.5% | 21.5% | 22.0% | +7.0 | |
| 26.7% | 20.5% | 24.0% | +6.2 | |
| 15.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | +4.3 | |
| 10.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | +8.3 | |
| 8.8% | 14.5% | 21.0% | −5.7 | |
| 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | +3.4 | |
| 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | +1.9 | |
| 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | +1.1 | |
| 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | +0.4 | |
| 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | −0.9 | |
| 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | −0.9 | |
| 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | −1.0 | |
| 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | −0.7 | |
| 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | −0.7 | |
| 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | −1.3 | |
| 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 | |
| 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | −2.0 | |
| 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | −2.3 | |
| 0.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | −2.5 | |
| 0.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | −2.3 |
Polymarket only · 1Fernando Margáin Berlanga
Kalshi only · 4César Garza ArredondoDavid de la Peña MarroquínFernando Jesús Margáin SadaIvonne Liliana Álvarez García
Probability chart · Adrián de la Garza Santos
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