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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NV-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNV-04 House Election Winner
Volume $19.8KLiquidity $42.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $10.6KOpen interest $6.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: nv-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-nv-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nv-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSENV4-26
HOUSENV4-26-R
HOUSENV4-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.6% | 95.6% | 97.0% | +2.0 | |
| 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.7% | +0.4 |
Probability chart · Steven Horsford (D)
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