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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NY-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNY-08 House Election Winner
Volume $32.7KLiquidity $29.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $806Open interest $439Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ny-08-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-08-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NY08-26
KXHOUSERACE-NY08-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NY08-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.9% | 97.9% | 94.7% | −1.0 | |
| 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Hakeem Jeffries (D)
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