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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NY-10 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNY-10 House Election Winner
Volume $54.1KLiquidity $50.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $18.8KOpen interest $4.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ny-10-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-10-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-10-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NY10-26
KXHOUSERACE-NY10-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NY10-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.3% | 98.0% | 97.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Brad Lander (D)
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