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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NY-11 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNY-11 House Election Winner
Volume $34.5KLiquidity $51.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $28.2KOpen interest $13.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ny-11-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-11-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-11-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NY11-26
KXHOUSERACE-NY11-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NY11-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.1% | 93.5% | 90.4% | +1.6 | |
| 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | −0.9 |
Probability chart · Nicole Malliotakis (R)
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