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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NY-20 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNY-20 House Election Winner
Volume $46.8KLiquidity $62.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.8KOpen interest $1.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ny-20-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-20-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-20-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NY20-26
KXHOUSERACE-NY20-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NY20-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.3% | 97.4% | 97.3% | −0.1 | |
| 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · Paul Tonko (D)
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