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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
NY-24 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenNY-24 House Election Winner
Volume $24.1KLiquidity $35.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $14.8KOpen interest $9.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ny-24-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-24-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-24-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-NY24-26
KXHOUSERACE-NY24-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-NY24-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 96.2% | 94.0% | −1.7 | |
| 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | −1.5 |
Probability chart · Claudia Tenney (R)
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