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Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi14 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 5
October Unemployment Rate
Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.2KLiquidity $9.6KEnds Nov 6
Kalshi14 catalog outcomesOpenUnemployment in October
Volume $77.3KOpen interest $60.4KEnds Nov 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: october-unemployment-rate-2026
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-3pt9
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt0
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt1
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt2
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt3
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt4
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt5
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-3pt8
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt6
Kalshi
Market: KXU3-26OCT
KXU3-26OCT-T3.7
KXU3-26OCT-T3.8
KXU3-26OCT-T3.9
KXU3-26OCT-T4.0
KXU3-26OCT-T4.1
KXU3-26OCT-T4.2
KXU3-26OCT-T4.3
KXU3-26OCT-T4.4
KXU3-26OCT-T4.5
KXU3-26OCT-T4.6
KXU3-26OCT-T4.7
KXU3-26OCT-T4.8
KXU3-26OCT-T4.9
KXU3-26OCT-T5.0
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.5% | 30.5% | 30.0% | +1.0 | |
| 28.5% | 60.5% | 61.0% | −32.0 | |
| 25.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | +15.0 | |
| 7.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | +4.0 | |
| 6.1% | 87.5% | 87.0% | −81.4 | |
| 2.9% | 97.0% | 96.0% | −94.1 | |
| 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | +0.4 | |
| 2.9% | 98.5% | 98.0% | −95.6 | |
| 2.8% | 1.5% | 10.0% | +1.3 |
Kalshi only · 5Above 3.7%Above 4.7%Above 4.8%Above 4.9%Above 5.0%
Probability chart · 4.2%
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