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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
OH-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenOH-04 House Election Winner
Volume $23.4KLiquidity $91.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.8KOpen interest $1.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oh-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-oh-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-oh-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-OH04-26
KXHOUSERACE-OH04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-OH04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 97.2% | 96.6% | −1.7 | |
| 4.5% | 2.4% | 8.2% | +2.1 |
Probability chart · Jim Jordan (R)
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