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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
OK-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenOK-04 House Election Winner
Volume $34.6KLiquidity $37.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.6KOpen interest $2.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ok-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ok-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ok-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-OK04-26
KXHOUSERACE-OK04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-OK04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.9% | 96.6% | 96.1% | +0.3 | |
| 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | +1.4 |
Probability chart · Tom Cole (R)
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