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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Oregon Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenOregon Senate Election Winner
Volume $6.9KLiquidity $87.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $12.0KOpen interest $8.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oregon-senate-election-winner
will-the-republicans-win-the-oregon-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-democrats-win-the-oregon-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEOR-26
SENATEOR-26-R
SENATEOR-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.9% | 98.8% | 99.1% | −0.9 | |
| 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Jeff Merkley (D)
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