← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi33 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 15
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesOpenOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Volume $67.3KLiquidity $27.2KEnds Mar 15
Kalshi33 catalog outcomesOpenOscar nominees: Best Actor
Volume $414.1KOpen interest $212.1KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892
will-adam-driver-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-andrew-scott-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-brad-pitt-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-jaafar-jackson-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-javier-bardem-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-jeremy-strong-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-john-malkovich-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-john-turturro-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-josh-oconnor-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-matt-damon-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-pedro-pascal-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-robert-aramayo-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-robert-pattinson-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260807191901835
will-ryan-gosling-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-sam-rockwell-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-sebastian-stan-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-timothe-chalamet-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-tom-cruise-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARNOMACTO-27
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ADA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ADAM
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ANDR
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-AND
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ANT
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-BRA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHAN
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-DOM
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ETH
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-GUY
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-HAN
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JAA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JAVI
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JERE
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JER
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOH
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOHN
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOS
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-KEA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-MAR
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-MAT
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-PED
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ROB
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ROBE
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ROBER
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-RYA
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SAC
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SAM
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SEB
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TIM
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TOM
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TOMH
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.0% | 93.0% | 94.0% | +1.0 | |
| 93.7% | 92.0% | 94.0% | +1.6 | |
| 88.5% | 85.0% | 86.0% | +3.5 | |
| 54.0% | 58.5% | 60.0% | −4.5 | |
| 49.5% | 52.5% | 52.0% | −3.0 | |
| 45.0% | 40.5% | 40.0% | +4.5 | |
| 35.5% | 31.0% | 32.0% | +4.5 | |
| 29.6% | 23.5% | 24.0% | +6.1 | |
| 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 13.5% | 15.5% | 19.0% | −2.0 | |
| 10.5% | 14.5% | 17.0% | −4.0 | |
| 9.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | +3.6 | |
| 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | −3.0 | |
| 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | −0.6 | |
| 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% | +0.7 | |
| 4.0% | 5.0% | 12.0% | −1.0 | |
| 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | +0.8 |
Kalshi only · 15Adam ScottAndrew GarfieldAnthony IppolitoChanning TatumCharles MeltonDominic SessaEthan HawkeGuy Pearce
Probability chart · John Malkovich
loading history
No history to chart yet