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Updated 1s agoPolymarket17 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi53 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 37
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket17 catalog outcomesOpenOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
Volume $49.4KLiquidity $23.4KEnds Mar 15
Kalshi53 catalog outcomesOpenOscar nominees: Best Picture
Volume $1.14MOpen interest $539.6KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167
will-all-of-a-sudden-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-avengers-doomsday-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-digger-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-disclosure-day-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-dune-part-three-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-fatherland-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-fjord-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-la-bola-negra-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-michael-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-project-hail-mary-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-adventures-of-cliff-booth-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-debut-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-drama-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-invite-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-odyssey-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-the-social-reckoning-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
will-wild-horse-nine-be-nominated-for-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARNOMPIC-27
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-FAT
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ALL
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ART
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-AVEN
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BAC
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BEH
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BEI
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BUC
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-CLA
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-CLU
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-CRY
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DIG
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DIS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DUN
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ELS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-FJO
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-HOP
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ILO
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-IPL
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-INK
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-JAC
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-JOS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-MIC
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-MIN
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-MIS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-NAR
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-OBS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PAP
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PAR
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-POS
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRI
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-PRO
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ROSE
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-SAT
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-SEN
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-SPI
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-BLA
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DEA
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DEB
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-DRA
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ENT
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ADV
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-INV
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-ODY
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-SOC
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-UPR
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-WHI
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-TON
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-WER
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-WIL
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-WILD
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-YOU
KXOSCARNOMPIC-27-YOUR
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.7% | 98.0% | 99.0% | +1.7 | |
| 91.5% | 89.0% | 90.0% | +2.5 | |
| 86.0% | 82.5% | 81.0% | +3.5 | |
| 83.5% | 79.5% | 79.0% | +4.0 | |
| 79.5% | 82.0% | 81.0% | −2.5 | |
| 69.5% | 64.5% | 66.0% | +5.0 | |
| 42.0% | 43.5% | 41.0% | −1.5 | |
| 39.5% | 36.0% | 38.0% | +3.5 | |
| 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 14.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | +0.5 | |
| 13.5% | 14.5% | 20.0% | −1.0 | |
| 12.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | −1.5 | |
| 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | +0.6 | |
| 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | +1.5 | |
| 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | +3.5 | |
| 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | −2.4 |
Polymarket only · 1La Bola Negra
Kalshi only · 37ArtificialBackroomsBehemothBeing HeumannBucking FastardClarissaClub KidCry to Heaven
Probability chart · The Odyssey
loading history
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