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Updated 1s agoPolymarket44 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi24 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 31Kalshi only · 11
Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Updated 1s agoPolymarket44 catalog outcomesOpenOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Volume $163.5KLiquidity $215.9KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi24 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.16MOpen interest $908.1KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2027-best-actor-winner-20260727174302919
will-actor-b-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302938
will-actor-c-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302939
will-actor-d-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302940
will-actor-e-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302941
will-actor-f-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302942
will-actor-g-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302943
will-actor-h-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302944
will-actor-i-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302945
will-actor-j-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302946
will-actor-k-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302947
will-actor-l-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302948
will-actor-m-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302949
will-actor-n-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302950
will-actor-o-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302951
will-actor-p-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503022
will-actor-q-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503023
will-actor-r-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503024
will-actor-s-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503025
will-actor-t-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503026
will-actor-u-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503027
will-actor-v-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503028
will-actor-w-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503029
will-actor-x-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503030
will-actor-y-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503031
will-actor-z-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503032
will-adam-driver-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302929
will-andrew-scott-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302932
will-brad-pitt-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302934
will-jaafar-jackson-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302936
will-javier-bardem-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302930
will-jeremy-strong-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302928
will-john-malkovich-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302922
will-john-turturro-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302927
will-josh-oconnor-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302931
will-matt-damon-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302925
will-another-actor-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021503033
will-pedro-pascal-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302923
will-robert-aramayo-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302933
will-robert-pattinson-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260807201951638
will-ryan-gosling-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302921
will-sam-rockwell-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302935
will-sebastian-stan-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302924
will-timothee-chalamet-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302926
will-tom-cruise-win-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174302920
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARACTO-27
KXOSCARACTO-27-ADA
KXOSCARACTO-27-AND
KXOSCARACTO-27-ANT
KXOSCARACTO-27-BRA
KXOSCARACTO-27-CHAN
KXOSCARACTO-27-CHA
KXOSCARACTO-27-ETH
KXOSCARACTO-27-HAN
KXOSCARACTO-27-JAC
KXOSCARACTO-27-JAF
KXOSCARACTO-27-JER
KXOSCARACTO-27-JOH
KXOSCARACTO-27-JOS
KXOSCARACTO-27-KEA
KXOSCARACTO-27-MATT
KXOSCARACTO-27-PED
KXOSCARACTO-27-ROB
KXOSCARACTO-27-RYA
KXOSCARACTO-27-SAC
KXOSCARACTO-27-SEB
KXOSCARACTO-27-TIE
KXOSCARACTO-27-TIM
KXOSCARACTO-27-TOM
KXOSCARACTO-27-TOMH
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 38.5% | 39.0% | −2.5 | |
| 21.0% | 25.5% | 25.0% | −4.5 | |
| 19.0% | 15.5% | 16.0% | +3.5 | |
| 13.0% | 15.5% | 15.0% | −2.5 | |
| 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | +2.5 | |
| 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.9 | |
| 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −0.2 | |
| 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −0.9 | |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 |
Polymarket only · 31Actor BActor CActor DActor EActor FActor GActor HActor I
Kalshi only · 11Anthony IppolitoChanning TatumCharles MeltonEthan HawkeHanns ZischlerJacob TremblayJafar JacksonKeanu Reeves
Probability chart · John Malkovich
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