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Updated 1s agoPolymarket37 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi18 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 32Kalshi only · 13
Oscar winner: Best Actress
Updated 1s agoPolymarket37 catalog outcomesOpenOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Volume $149.4KLiquidity $47.1KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi18 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $278.3KOpen interest $179.6KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2027-best-actress-winner-20260727174350980
will-actress-b-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350992
will-actress-c-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350993
will-actress-d-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350994
will-actress-e-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350995
will-actress-f-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350996
will-actress-g-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350997
will-actress-h-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350998
will-actress-i-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350999
will-actress-j-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351000
will-actress-k-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351001
will-actress-l-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351002
will-actress-m-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351003
will-actress-n-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351004
will-actress-o-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174351005
will-actress-p-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533602
will-actress-q-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533603
will-actress-r-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533604
will-actress-s-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533605
will-actress-t-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533606
will-actress-u-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533607
will-actress-v-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533608
will-actress-w-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533609
will-actress-x-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533610
will-actress-y-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533611
will-actress-z-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533612
will-inde-navarrette-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260730230550571
will-julianne-moore-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350986
will-lea-seydoux-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350988
will-michelle-williams-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350989
will-another-actress-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260728021533613
will-rachel-brosnahan-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350981
will-renate-reinsve-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350985
will-ruth-madeley-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350983
will-sandra-huller-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350987
will-scarlett-johansson-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350990
will-sophie-okonedo-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350984
will-virginie-efira-win-best-actress-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174350982
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARACTR-27
KXOSCARACTR-27-ANN
KXOSCARACTR-27-CYN
KXOSCARACTR-27-DAK
KXOSCARACTR-27-IND
KXOSCARACTR-27-JOA
KXOSCARACTR-27-JUL
KXOSCARACTR-27-KAT
KXOSCARACTR-27-KIR
KXOSCARACTR-27-MAR
KXOSCARACTR-27-MIK
KXOSCARACTR-27-NAT
KXOSCARACTR-27-OLI
KXOSCARACTR-27-PEN
KXOSCARACTR-27-REN
KXOSCARACTR-27-SAN
KXOSCARACTR-27-SCA
KXOSCARACTR-27-SHA
KXOSCARACTR-27-TIE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 63.5% | 64.0% | +6.5 | |
| 16.0% | 19.0% | 20.0% | −3.0 | |
| 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | +3.7 | |
| 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | +0.1 | |
| 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +1.0 |
Polymarket only · 32Actress BActress CActress DActress EActress FActress GActress HActress I
Kalshi only · 13Anne hathawayCynthia ErivoDakota JohnsonJoan CollinsKate O'FlynnKirsten DunstMarion BaileyMikey Madison
Probability chart · Julianne Moore
loading history
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