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Updated 1s agoPolymarket42 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi15 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 27
Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay
Updated 1s agoPolymarket42 catalog outcomesOpenOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Volume $31.1KLiquidity $17.6KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi15 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $29.6KOpen interest $24.3KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2027-best-adapted-screenplay-winner-1754500000000
will-all-of-a-sudden-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946162
will-clarissa-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946168
will-cry-to-heaven-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946164
will-dune-part-three-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946163
will-ink-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946170
will-movie-a-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946171
will-movie-b-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946172
will-movie-c-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946173
will-movie-d-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946174
will-movie-e-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946175
will-movie-f-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946176
will-movie-g-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946177
will-movie-h-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946178
will-movie-i-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946179
will-movie-j-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946180
will-movie-k-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946181
will-movie-l-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946182
will-movie-m-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946183
will-movie-n-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946184
will-movie-o-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946185
will-movie-p-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946186
will-movie-q-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946187
will-movie-r-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946188
will-movie-s-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946189
will-movie-t-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946190
will-movie-u-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946191
will-movie-v-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946192
will-movie-w-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946193
will-movie-x-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946194
will-movie-y-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946195
will-movie-z-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946196
will-another-film-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946197
will-project-hail-mary-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946159
will-saturn-return-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946169
will-the-adventures-of-cliff-booth-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946160
will-the-black-ball-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946158
will-the-invite-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946157
will-the-odyssey-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946156
will-the-social-reckoning-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946161
will-the-whisper-man-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946166
will-toy-story-5-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946167
will-wildwood-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260805190946165
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARASPLAY-27
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-ALL
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-CLA
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-CRY
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-DUN
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-INK
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-PRO
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-SAT
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-BLA
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-ADV
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-INV
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-ODY
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-SOC
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-WHI
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-TOY
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-WIL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 41.5% | 43.0% | +1.0 | |
| 29.0% | 30.0% | 31.0% | −1.0 | |
| 17.5% | 21.5% | 19.0% | −4.0 | |
| 6.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | +3.6 | |
| 5.1% | 2.0% | 27.0% | +3.1 | |
| 4.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | −4.9 | |
| 3.9% | 2.0% | 5.0% | +1.9 | |
| 3.5% | 2.0% | 5.0% | +1.5 | |
| 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | −1.9 | |
| 1.7% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.8% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −1.2 | |
| 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | −1.9 | |
| 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −1.5 | |
| 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −1.6 | |
| 0.4% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −1.6 |
Polymarket only · 27Movie AMovie BMovie CMovie DMovie EMovie FMovie GMovie H
Probability chart · The Black Ball
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